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hot_img Intel's EMIB-T advanced packaging faces yield challenges, with the first mass production target in 2027 only at 50%

According to Taiwanese media reports, Intel's next-generation advanced packaging technology EMIB-T is facing severe yield challenges. ABF substrate supplier Unimicron stated during its earnings call on July 29 that the technology is "not yet mature," and the yield target for three EMIB-T substrate suppliers (Unimicron, Ibiden, and Shinkawa) during the initial mass production phase at the end of 2027 is only 50%.EMIB-T is Intel's advanced packaging solution that competes with TSMC's CoWoS-L, differing in that it embeds the silicon bridge directly into the substrate rather than using a silicon interposer, making substrate suppliers a key factor in determining success or failure. Google's ninth-generation TPU has confirmed that it will adopt EMIB-T packaging when it goes into mass production in 2028, with MediaTek responsible for chip co-design. If the chip successfully goes into mass production, its shipment volume is expected to challenge NVIDIA. Unimicron stated that the customer (Intel) has provided a profit guarantee mechanism, ensuring that suppliers can remain profitable even if yields are poor, and that profit margins will exceed the company's average level after achieving the 50% yield target. Currently, there is still considerable uncertainty about whether EMIB-T can achieve its mass production target by the end of 2027.

"1011 Insider Whale" agent: SK Hynix's rebound may be due to short covering, AI storage cycle entering the return verification phase

"1011 Insider Whale" agent Garrett Jin released a weekly analysis stating that he previously suggested gradually positioning in storage chips and buying on dips, but the market did not experience the expected pullback. He has sold half of the previously rebounded positions during the surge, not because the investment logic has changed, but because he noticed the funding structure driving the rise, stating, "This is more like a short squeeze rather than a final confirmation of the market fundamentals." Rapid capital replenishment of short positions can create short-term increases in stocks like SK Hynix, but cannot solely support a sustained trend. The risks of Korean leveraged ETFs have not been fully released, but the decline in asset scale mainly comes from net value shrinkage rather than investor exit. Currently, the cumulative net subscription of related financial products remains at historical highs and has not turned negative.Garrett Jin emphasized that the decline in the scale of Korean leveraged ETFs does not indicate a bearish outlook on storage demand. SK Hynix's 2026 capacity is already sold out, and Micron's orders are covered until 2028, with strong demand expected to continue until the second half of 2027. However, the storage industry is essentially a cyclical industry, and stock prices have already risen by hundreds of percentage points in advance. Cyclical stocks are usually difficult to sustain long-term growth through valuation expansion. The current market is entering a new phase of the AI capital expenditure cycle, shifting from "rewarding investment" to "evaluating investment returns." Regarding Bitcoin, Garrett Jin stated that it continues to meet the bottoming conditions since the low in July and maintains the position view established around $60,000.
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