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Big tech companies face a salary inversion for AI talent, with top fresh graduates earning up to 5 million annually

According to Beating reports, Lei Feng Network interviewed several headhunters and found that major domestic internet companies are tightening their recruitment quotas but are still willing to break salary limits for top AI talents. Headhunters revealed that this year, some outstanding fresh graduates in foundational model directions have annual packages reaching 2 million yuan; ByteDance Seed and Xiaohongshu's highest offers have reached 4 million to 5 million yuan, while Baidu is in the range of 2 million to 3 million yuan.The high salaries for talent are exacerbating internal salary discrepancies. An internet professional stated that some employees in foundational models have lower job levels but earn more than their higher-level colleagues. Similar situations emerged as early as 2017; an experienced engineer recalled that at that time, a returnee fresh graduate who joined a year later and was at a lower job level had a monthly salary 10,000 yuan higher than his own, leading to a monthly turnover of about 10% in a team of over thirty people.Headhunters noted that application-side positions are shrinking, while foundational model teams still lack individuals who can truly train large models. Coding Agents, model evaluation, pre-training data, and Agent infrastructure have become new focal points for talent acquisition; DeepSeek has recently been expanding its recruitment for backend developers and Agent Infra engineers, while the hiring enthusiasm in areas like AI search has decreased. Companies are not only looking at academic qualifications and papers but also place greater importance on whether candidates have actually trained large-scale models in leading teams; the salaries and responsibilities of scarce talents can be negotiated separately, while competition among ordinary AI job seekers is more intense.

This week's macro outlook: Jensen Huang appears at NVIDIA GTC, the Federal Reserve enters a quiet period, and Meta and Tesla's earnings reports become the market focus

Last week, U.S. tech stocks experienced a significant pullback, with the Nasdaq dropping over 4% for the week. The market is digesting stronger-than-expected inflation data while reassessing the narrative that "the economy cannot be crushed." The Federal Reserve has entered its quiet period ahead of the FOMC meeting on October 28, with officials absent from public statements. This week, more attention will be on the earnings reports of tech giants and economic data, with Meta and Tesla set to announce their results, and the semiconductor and storage sectors also entering their earnings disclosure window.On the geopolitical front, Trump has suspended the full sanctions and tariff enforcement against Russia and set a roughly 60-day assessment window. Disruptions in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and escalating risks in the Middle East continue to support oil price premiums. On the agenda, the Nvidia GTC Berlin conference opens on Tuesday and runs until the 22nd; on Wednesday, the U.S. will release API and EIA crude oil inventory data for the week ending October 16. In the evening, Beijing time, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang will deliver a keynote speech, followed by earnings reports from Meta, Tesla, IBM, and Lam Research after the market closes.On Thursday, the U.S. will announce initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17. Before the market opens, Nokia will release its earnings report, and after the market closes, Western Digital and MaxLinear will announce their earnings. On Friday, the U.S. will release the preliminary values for the October S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMIs, as well as the final value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index and the final value of one-year inflation expectations. On the same day, Japan will also release its September CPI and preliminary values for the October composite, manufacturing, and services PMIs, allowing the market to observe the price situation ahead of the Bank of Japan's decision on October 30.

CITIC Securities: The high growth of earnings in the U.S. stock market may no longer be concentrated solely among leading technology companies

CITIC Securities released a research report indicating that as the performance of U.S. stocks during the domestic long holiday becomes desensitized to interest rates, investors' focus will shift to the upcoming third-quarter earnings reports of U.S. stocks starting next week.LSEG's consensus expectations show that the S&P 500's revenue and earnings growth rates for Q3 2026 are expected to reach 1.2% and 45.0% year-on-year, respectively, with a slight decline quarter-on-quarter. At the industry level, the year-on-year earnings growth rates for energy, information technology, materials, and healthcare all exceed 50%. The high growth in U.S. stock earnings may no longer be concentrated solely in leading technology companies, as the earnings contribution from non-tech sectors is significantly increasing.For Hong Kong stocks, although the overseas interest rate hike cycle combined with the restart of AI momentum trading continues to pressure liquidity, the fundamental expectations have bottomed out, and the earnings growth expectations for major broad-based indices have begun to be revised upward. The adjustment of industry earnings expectations is significantly differentiated, with some sub-sectors seeing upward revisions, while the earnings expectations for domestic demand-related industries still face downward pressure. The upcoming third-quarter performance will be an important basis for assessing the progress of recovery. We advise investors to remain patient with Hong Kong stocks, as short-term dividend strategies are expected to continue to outperform.
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