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Flash

Serenity: Investors are indiscriminately selling off assets in the AI industry chain, with some storage stocks' valuations dropping to an annualized price-to-earnings ratio of 1.6 times

Investor Serenity (@aleabitoreddit) posted that the current market deleveraging has become quite severe, with investors indiscriminately selling stocks related to the AI industry chain. Some companies' stock prices have even fallen back to levels before significant orders and performance expectations were realized.Serenity cited the storage chip company ESMT as an example, noting that the company has a market capitalization of about $2 billion, achieving a gross profit of $526.2 million and a net profit of $330 million in the third quarter, with net assets of approximately $937 million, of which net cash is about $740 million. Based on current performance annualized, its price-to-earnings ratio is only about 1.6 times. Despite ongoing market concerns about the cycle peaking, unsustainable profits, and lack of competitive barriers, the trend of DDR2 and DDR3 production lines exiting is tightening supply, and ESMT expects to hedge against declining consumer demand in the fourth quarter by raising product average prices.Serenity also pointed out that manufacturers like Samsung and Micron are gradually exiting DDR2 and DDR3 production lines, and Nanya Technology has also stopped related production lines, while ESMT's revenue mainly comes from these two types of storage products. It believes that the market underestimates the price support brought by the contraction of traditional storage supply and ignores the situation where Micron, Samsung, SK Hynix, and SanDisk are locking in profitability through long-term supply agreements and price floors. Serenity criticized that the market is selling off AI and storage industry chain companies that actually generate substantial cash flow while shifting funds to companies like Walmart, which has a price-to-earnings ratio of about 47 times, and CrowdStrike, which has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of about 180 times. The current focus is not on the actual free cash flow generated by companies but rather on indiscriminate selling.

Zhao Changpeng: It is expected that the bull market will drive more capital inflow, and retail investors are advised to actively learn about asset security protection

Binance founder Changpeng Zhao stated in an interview, "Typically, after an attack event, some users do choose to withdraw their funds. Some large institutions are required by internal policies to withdraw funds, and some retail investors may follow suit.However, after withdrawing, users face another question: where is it safer to store their money? I personally have not suffered any financial losses on Binance because Binance has absorbed the losses caused by this incident. This event is indeed frightening, but the question is, where can I transfer my funds? Recently, several hardware wallets have also been attacked, including one supply chain attack and another involving the mnemonic phrase generation process. This means that even if users make no operational mistakes and strictly follow all security protocols, purchasing hardware wallets and generating mnemonic phrases, they could still lose all their funds five years later without any fault, and no institution will bear the losses.The first wave of impact has already occurred, and Binance has also been attacked and completed repairs. Next, the second wave of impact may affect smaller platforms, which may not necessarily be more secure. Therefore, some users may initially choose to withdraw, but later realize that they need to manage their mnemonic phrases and store their assets themselves. In fact, less than 10% of the funds flowed to other centralized trading platforms, which means that most of the funds may have been transferred to users' own self-custody wallets. However, using self-custody wallets is not without risks. Users must properly back up their mnemonic phrases and ensure they do not get lost or damaged.In fact, most losses suffered by users when self-custodying assets are not even caused by hacker attacks. Therefore, after weighing their options, users may reconsider depositing their funds back into trading platforms. In fact, within less than 24 hours, we have already seen a change in fund flows. I also saw a tweet earlier showing that the fund flow statistics for the platform have turned into a net inflow on an hourly basis, which actually reflects the strength of the platform and users' trust in it. I believe that in the coming weeks and even months, fund flows will continue to fluctuate. As we mentioned before, if the market re-enters a bull market, we will see more funds flowing in.I believe there are many aspects that need attention. First, the speed of technological development is very fast, especially AI, which is growing at an astonishing rate, and the trend of exponential growth even exceeds people's understanding. Secondly, I believe that the entire cryptocurrency industry is still under-invested in the security field. Frankly speaking, many AI security tools are not yet truly applied in the industry.Therefore, I encourage all practitioners to increase their investment in these areas, including increasing the number of security engineers, introducing more AI tools, and closely collaborating with AI security service providers. I believe these are crucial. For ordinary users, what we call retail investors, I suggest everyone actively learn about different security tools, understand how to protect their assets, and closely follow industry trends and relevant news. Especially at this current stage, all of this is very important."

Next week's macro outlook: The U.S. midterm elections and non-farm payrolls will be the focus, Apple and AMD will release their earnings reports

From November 2 to 8, global markets will welcome several events. The U.S. midterm elections, Apple and AMD earnings reports, and October non-farm payroll data will become the focus of market attention. The Bank of England, the Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decisions, the results of the Israeli parliamentary elections, and the progress of the trilateral negotiations among Russia, the U.S., and Ukraine will also be closely watched. In the tech sector, Apple and AMD will release their latest earnings reports, serving as an important test after the confidence in AI trading has been impacted. Apple is expected to report revenues of about $113 billion, marking the first earnings report since the appointment of new CEO Tim Cook; AMD is expected to report revenues of about $13 billion, with attention on the progress of Helios cabinets and MI450 chips.Additionally, Qualcomm, Advanced Micro Devices, Coherent, Lumentum, and Berkshire Hathaway will also announce their performance. There are also reports that Marvell is negotiating to acquire Lumentum, with an announcement possible as soon as next week. Apple's smart access testing plan with Alibaba Qianwen will open on November 4. On November 3, the U.S. midterm elections will re-elect all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 seats in the Senate, and the election results will affect the fiscal, tariff, and industrial policy advancement space of the Trump administration in the next two years.The final results of the Israeli parliamentary elections are expected to be announced on November 4, and the trilateral negotiations among Russia, the U.S., and Ukraine are scheduled to resume next week in Abu Dhabi. In terms of macro data, the U.S. October non-farm payroll report will be released, following a mere 29,000 new jobs added in September, with the market expecting an increase of 65,000 jobs in October. If the employment data performs strongly, it may further strengthen market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December and impact the U.S. dollar, U.S. Treasury bonds, and gold prices. China's October foreign exchange reserve data will also be released.

first_img FutureBit Apollo Solo miner mined Bitcoin block 973,262, earning 3.154 BTC

On October 26, a mining machine running on the FutureBit Apollo Solo solution mined Bitcoin block 973,262, receiving a complete block reward of 3.154 BTC and collecting transaction fees from 2,477 transactions within that block. Multiple block explorers, including mempool.space, marked the discoverer of this block as "FutureBit Apollo Solo," with its coinbase transaction containing text mentioning FutureBit and Apollo.FutureBit stated on X that the Apollo device or Solo Node assembles block templates, allocates work, and submits complete blocks using its built-in solo pool. This is at least the fourth block attributed to FutureBit Apollo Solo, with the previous three being 867,760, 881,423, and 888,737. FutureBit designs Apollo hardware for users who wish to run a full Bitcoin node and mine independently at home, with the latest model, Apollo III, achieving a maximum hash rate of 18 TH/s in turbo mode and integrating a full node.Solo mining is often referred to as "lottery-style mining" due to the extremely low probability of winning relative to block rewards. Against the backdrop of the Bitcoin network's hash rate recently being around 1,070--1,087 EH/s, the expected time for home devices with 10--18 TH/s to mine a block is still measured in centuries at current difficulty levels, but verified successful cases of solo mining continue to appear on-chain. Additionally, the next day, another miner successfully mined a solo block through CKPool Solo.

first_img Ethena Pay launched Earn+, aiming for rewards of up to 12%

Ethena Pay has begun rolling out the Earn+ feature, which claims that the dollar balance can earn a target annual reward of up to 12%. Initially, it is open to Pro and VIP users, with plans to expand to all users in the coming days. This feature will transfer funds from the main payment balance to an external Upshift vault, where Steakhouse Financial will execute a leveraged USDe strategy on Aave, aiming for a yield higher than the app's existing maximum tiered reward of 6%.According to documents released by Ethena Pay, the vault targets approximately 11 times leverage on Aave v4 on Avalanche, packaging repeated borrowing and reinvestment into a one-click deposit. The specific path involves depositing USDe as collateral, borrowing USDT, and then using the borrowed tokens to purchase more USDe in a loop, with returns depending on whether the USDe rewards can cover the USDT borrowing costs. Ethena Pay states that it only provides the interface and does not guarantee the assets, and users must bear the risk of vault losses, which may result in losing part or all of their invested funds.Ethena Pay claims that the simplified interface does not eliminate liquidation risk; when collateral is insufficient to cover debts, positions will face liquidation, with liquidators repaying debts and taking collateral and rewards. The 12% is only a target and not a guaranteed return, rates may be adjusted downwards, and Earn+ balances do not enjoy the Daily Boost of the main account. This product has no lock-up period, no fees for deposits or withdrawals, and withdrawals are processed to the main dollar account within 24 hours but may be delayed, and are not considered insured bank deposits. The initial total capacity limit for the vault is $4.5 million, with individual limits of $50,000 and $200,000 for Pro and VIP users, respectively, and $20,000 for Standard users.
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