ChainCatcher news, "Fed's mouthpiece" Nick Timiraos wrote that Federal Reserve officials are now facing a question of whether the election results will lead to meaningful changes in economic demand or inflation, thus requiring a different policy path.Timiraos stated that officials will not change their policy stance until they understand the reform proposals of President-elect Trump regarding taxes, tariffs, and immigration. However, if the Republicans also gain control of both houses of Congress, they may begin to revise some fundamental assumptions at the December meeting. (Jin Ten)

ChainCatcher news, according to Jin Ten reports, "the Federal Reserve's mouthpiece" Nick Timiraos stated that the Federal Reserve's two-and-a-half-year battle against inflation seems to have succeeded, but the U.S. election may change this situation. Both candidates support policies that promote economic growth, which could prevent inflation from declining further. However, economists and even conservative advisors are concerned that Trump's supported views are particularly likely to ignite inflationary pressures. This includes his proposals for imposing tariffs on all imported goods, expelling workers, and relying on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates.Overall, these policies are moving in the direction of inflation. Trump's proposals could lead him into a new conflict with the Federal Reserve, whose task is to maintain low inflation. Any factors that reignite inflation could cause officials to slow down or even halt their interest rate cut plans.

ChainCatcher message, analysts indicate that in today's volatile trading, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points next week has risen to nearly 50%. Just yesterday at this time, the likelihood of a 50 basis point cut was only 20-25%.Earlier today, "Fed Whisperer" Nick Timiraos wrote about the Federal Reserve's dilemma of whether to implement a large or small rate cut, which has sparked some speculation that he may have received hints from the Fed. (Jin Shi)