bank

The European Central Bank avoided a payment system "disaster," but exposed vulnerabilities in emergency response

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the European Central Bank's payment system experienced a major failure last Thursday, and the chaos that ensued during the 10 hours it took to identify and resolve the issue led to disruptions in welfare payments for over 15,000 Greeks, a large number of wages and pensions in Austria, and several financial transactions. The situation could have potentially worsened.If the situation had occurred or continued into the next day, i.e., at the end of February, it would have been a payday for many public sector employees, pensioners, and welfare recipients, and this chaos could have impacted millions of people and businesses, putting a strain on the banking system. According to officials from the Eurozone central bank, the core of the escalating turmoil was a hardware failure, but technicians took hours to identify the problem after initially misdiagnosing a database issue.Markus Ferber, a member of the European Parliament and a member of the committee overseeing the European Central Bank, stated, "A hardware failure is forgivable, but it is inexcusable if there is no backup that can be immediately activated when problems arise." An official from the European Central Bank indicated that the affected hardware did indeed have multiple backups, and the bank is analyzing why they did not activate.

Traders expect the S&P 500 index to experience the largest volatility on a non-farm payroll day since the regional banking crisis in March 2023

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, options traders expect the S&P 500 index to fluctuate by 1.3% this Friday, which will be the largest fluctuation on a non-farm payroll data release day since the regional bank crisis in March 2023. Citigroup data shows that the S&P 500 index is expected to have a two-way fluctuation of 1.4% on Wednesday, marking the highest implied volatility since the day after the U.S. presidential election on November 6, 2023.The increase in market volatility is mainly influenced by two factors: the uncertainty of the Trump administration's tariff policy and the upcoming non-farm payroll report. Trump recently warned of potential future economic fluctuations and defended his plan to significantly raise tariffs, but U.S. Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo indicated that Trump is considering some tariff relief measures, which has slightly eased market sentiment.The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) is currently at its highest level since December of last year, breaking through the 20-point mark. Economists expect that U.S. employment will increase by 160,000 in February, the unemployment rate will remain at 4%, and average hourly earnings will rise by 4.1% year-on-year. UBS equity derivatives strategist Grinkov stated, "Macroeconomic factors are becoming more important; this is a higher volatility environment."

State Street Bank: Predicts that cryptocurrency ETFs will surpass North American precious metal ETFs by the end of this year

ChainCatcher news, according to the Financial Times, based on predictions from State Street, the world's largest ETF service provider, the demand for cryptocurrency ETFs is surging, and it is expected that by the end of this year, their total assets will surpass North American precious metals ETFs. This change will make digital token ETFs the third largest asset class in the $15 trillion ETF industry, following stocks and bonds, surpassing real estate, alternative investments, and multi-asset funds.Frank Koudelka, head of State Street's global ETF solutions, stated, "The growth rate of cryptocurrencies has surprised us. I expected there would be pent-up demand, but I didn't expect it to be this strong." He anticipates that cryptocurrency ETFs will continue to grow rapidly this year and points out that data shows an increasing number of investment advisors are interested in cryptocurrencies and incorporating them into their portfolios. Precious metals ETFs have a 20-year first-mover advantage, with the world's first physically-backed gold ETF—the $85 billion SPDR Gold Trust (GLD)—launched in 2004, and it remains the largest precious metals ETF to date. However, State Street expects that the total assets of North American precious metals ETFs, currently at $165 billion, will be surpassed by cryptocurrency ETFs this year.State Street also predicts that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will approve more digital asset ETFs this year. In addition to the existing Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, fund management companies have applied to launch ETFs based on various tokens such as SOL, XRP, and others. State Street expects that by 2025, ETFs based on the top ten tokens by market capitalization will be approved.
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