Matrixport Research: BTC New High May Arrive by Year-End or in 2025
Last October, Matrix on Target predicted the price trajectory of BTC for the fifth bull market. The model's forecast data indicated that BTC would rise from $22,500 in late January 2023 to $45,000 by the end of the year, an increase of +100%. Then, there would be a pullback below $40,000 in early January 2024, followed by a climb to $63,130 in March, a drop to a low of $50,000 in the summer, and finally a parabolic rise to $125,000.
Fact-checking shows that the BTC price was only 3% off from Matrix on Target's predicted target of $45,000, and less than 1% off from the predicted halving price level of $63,130, although the timing of the halving occurred later than initially expected. Currently, the BTC price trend is relatively close to previous predictions; although it has not yet reached the target of $125,000, based on current market developments, BTC may reach a new high by the end of 2024 or in 2025, and the peak may not hit the $125,000 target in one go.
September Core PCE Price Index Monthly Rate Rises 0.3%, Fed May Take Cautious Rate Cut Approach
The U.S. September core PCE price index year-on-year recorded 2.7%, unchanged from the previous month, while the monthly rate for September was 0.3%, rebounding from last month's 0.2%. The PCE inflation indicator saw its largest monthly increase since April, supporting the Fed's decision to slow down rate cuts after a significant reduction last month. With real income growth of 0.1%, inflation-adjusted consumer spending increased by 0.4%. The savings rate fell to 4.6%. This data suggests that the Fed will take a cautious approach to rate cuts in the coming months.
Latest Poll Data Released, Harris Leads Trump by a Slim 1%
According to a report by Forbes, a recent poll shows that U.S. Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Harris leads former President and Republican presidential candidate Trump by a slim 1%. However, 10% of voters may change their minds before the election. In seven key swing states that could determine the final election winner, Harris leads Trump with a support rate of 49% to 48%, while a week ago, Trump led Harris with a support rate of 50% to 46%.