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Greeks.Live: This week is a macro big week, and the most noteworthy event is the cryptocurrency summit in the U.S. on Friday

ChainCatcher news, Greeks . Live macro researcher Adam posted on the X platform that the most noteworthy event this week is the cryptocurrency summit to be held in the U.S. on March 7, where every move of Trump greatly influences the cryptocurrency market. This week is a macro big week, with impactful news almost every day. This Friday, in addition to the crypto summit, there are two significant data points: the unemployment rate and non-farm payrolls, which are very worth paying attention to. Moreover, the U.S. is about to switch to daylight saving time, making it more convenient to monitor the market. On Tuesday, Trump's tariff policy on the U.S. and Canada takes effect, and there are also important economic events on other days, creating rare trading opportunities driven by events.Cryptocurrency market outlook: The cryptocurrency market rebounded significantly over the weekend, with a single tweet from Trump reversing the prolonged bearish sentiment in the crypto market. Bitcoin has returned to the fluctuation zone of $94,000, and the sudden change in market conditions caught participants off guard, shifting market sentiment from very pessimistic to very optimistic. In terms of options, the volatile market has driven a rebound in implied volatility (IV) across all maturities, with the at-the-money IV for the current month rebounding to 55%, and short-term IV soaring to 70%. The intense market movements and the uncertainty brought by multiple economic events this week will likely keep the IV at a relatively high level, but buying options remains very cost-effective.Regarding the cryptocurrency interest rate market, the Bitfinex interest rate market has been relatively stable recently, and suitable interest rate orders can be actively executed, especially during market movements, which are worth paying special attention to.

Huobi HTX Live Analysis of the Crypto Market Plunge: The Federal Reserve's Rate Cut Expectations in the Second Half of the Year May Boost BTC to New Heights

ChainCatcher news, recently, Huobi HTX held a Twitter Space themed "Can we still catch the bus in the crypto market downturn?"Crypto KOLs J@Crypto, SteveRen, AK, 527, and Big Brother were invited to attend and shared trading strategies behind the significant drop in the crypto market. The five guests generally believe that Trump's tax cuts, deregulation, and tariff policies, combined with the Federal Reserve's high interest rates of 4.25%-4.50%, have hindered global capital flows and reduced market liquidity.At the same time, the Solana celebrity coin controversy, the Bybit theft incident, and the repeated rejection of state-level Bitcoin reserve bills in the U.S. have led to a concentrated outbreak of negative news, causing the crypto market to decline continuously. J@Crypto believes that the downturn is a short-term shock, and long-term confidence remains. Institutions and traditional funds are slowly positioning themselves, which will extend the bull market cycle. SteveRen analyzed from a technical perspective that Bitcoin has reached the bull-bear boundary EMA200 moving average, and a sharp decline is unlikely to see a quick rebound in the short term.From the perspective of ecological construction, Ethereum is superior to Solana and SUI, with certain potential for an explosion. Big Brother optimistically believes that the Federal Reserve's expectation of interest rate cuts in the second half of the year may boost BTC to new highs. In extreme market conditions, prioritizing BTC with a 70%-80% position allocation, while managing positions and risks, can outperform most people. 527 believes that BTC will oscillate at a high level within the range of 70k-105k. During this period, there may be innovations and explosions in the on-chain ecosystem. Large positions can be allocated to wealth management or held in BTC, while small funds can seize on-chain opportunities.In contrast, AK is more pessimistic. He believes that the bull market ended last year, and the bear market has arrived. Altcoin liquidity has dried up, leaving no room for rebounds; funds can be placed in wealth management products on exchanges like Huobi HTX, such as USDD with up to 20% annualized returns; or one can wait for lower prices to heavily invest in BTC.
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