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Bubblemaps conducted an on-chain investigation of four crypto KOLs: the recommendations and wallet trajectories are inconsistent, with some suspected of bundling and front-running

The on-chain analysis platform Bubblemaps stated that it recently investigated four crypto KOLs and found that their wallet movements do not completely align with their public narratives. The conclusions are based on Bubblemaps' analysis and estimates. Regarding "Kimchi," which was launched in collaboration with Pump.Fun, there were rumors in the community that it earned about 40 million dollars on TRUMP. Bubblemaps estimated related profits to be about 6 million dollars based on its publicly available airdrop wallet and associated clusters, questioning the reasons for concealing the associations.For Solstice, Bubblemaps stated that the multiple meme coins it promoted showed dozens of new wallets buying in simultaneously, each holding about 0.5% to 1% of the supply, and the public wallets can be traced back to the token deployer.For Anglio, after analyzing about 534 posts in October, the platform noted that associated wallets bought in an average of about 20 seconds before approximately 61% of the calls and sold quickly afterward, estimating profits of about 130,000 dollars, and he has admitted to using such tactics.For 0xEthan, Bubblemaps stated that he often sells about three minutes after making a call, with public wallets and secret side wallets buying in simultaneously, estimating related profits of about 125,000 dollars.

Analysis: After the midterm elections, the Federal Reserve's focus will shift to controlling inflation; if the conflict in Iran ends, there will be no need for another interest rate hike

Some observers of the Federal Reserve believe that Trump's strong opposition from voters in the midterm elections may alleviate the political pressure faced by Federal Reserve Chair Waller, allowing him to reduce political interference and focus on controlling inflation. Voters have listed the cost of living as one of their top concerns, fundamentally changing the political landscape surrounding the Federal Reserve.Since Trump's re-election in 2024, he has been exerting pressure on the Federal Reserve and its interest rate decisions, repeatedly calling for rate cuts, supporting an unprecedented criminal investigation into the renovation of the Federal Reserve's office building, and attempting to remove a sitting Federal Reserve governor. Against this backdrop, Trump chose Waller to lead the Federal Reserve in May of this year, after Waller had unusually shifted to support rate cuts. This has raised concerns among Democrats, who fear that the new chair may have agreed to adjust monetary policy according to the president's wishes.Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors, stated that in fact, if the election results prompt Trump to end the conflict with Iran and abandon further tariff increases, the Federal Reserve may not need to raise interest rates again at all.

Serenity: Investors are indiscriminately selling off assets in the AI industry chain, with some storage stocks' valuations dropping to an annualized price-to-earnings ratio of 1.6 times

Investor Serenity (@aleabitoreddit) posted that the current market deleveraging has become quite severe, with investors indiscriminately selling stocks related to the AI industry chain. Some companies' stock prices have even fallen back to levels before significant orders and performance expectations were realized.Serenity cited the storage chip company ESMT as an example, noting that the company has a market capitalization of about $2 billion, achieving a gross profit of $526.2 million and a net profit of $330 million in the third quarter, with net assets of approximately $937 million, of which net cash is about $740 million. Based on current performance annualized, its price-to-earnings ratio is only about 1.6 times. Despite ongoing market concerns about the cycle peaking, unsustainable profits, and lack of competitive barriers, the trend of DDR2 and DDR3 production lines exiting is tightening supply, and ESMT expects to hedge against declining consumer demand in the fourth quarter by raising product average prices.Serenity also pointed out that manufacturers like Samsung and Micron are gradually exiting DDR2 and DDR3 production lines, and Nanya Technology has also stopped related production lines, while ESMT's revenue mainly comes from these two types of storage products. It believes that the market underestimates the price support brought by the contraction of traditional storage supply and ignores the situation where Micron, Samsung, SK Hynix, and SanDisk are locking in profitability through long-term supply agreements and price floors. Serenity criticized that the market is selling off AI and storage industry chain companies that actually generate substantial cash flow while shifting funds to companies like Walmart, which has a price-to-earnings ratio of about 47 times, and CrowdStrike, which has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of about 180 times. The current focus is not on the actual free cash flow generated by companies but rather on indiscriminate selling.
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