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Flash

Serenity: Investors are indiscriminately selling off assets in the AI industry chain, with some storage stocks' valuations dropping to an annualized price-to-earnings ratio of 1.6 times

Investor Serenity (@aleabitoreddit) posted that the current market deleveraging has become quite severe, with investors indiscriminately selling stocks related to the AI industry chain. Some companies' stock prices have even fallen back to levels before significant orders and performance expectations were realized.Serenity cited the storage chip company ESMT as an example, noting that the company has a market capitalization of about $2 billion, achieving a gross profit of $526.2 million and a net profit of $330 million in the third quarter, with net assets of approximately $937 million, of which net cash is about $740 million. Based on current performance annualized, its price-to-earnings ratio is only about 1.6 times. Despite ongoing market concerns about the cycle peaking, unsustainable profits, and lack of competitive barriers, the trend of DDR2 and DDR3 production lines exiting is tightening supply, and ESMT expects to hedge against declining consumer demand in the fourth quarter by raising product average prices.Serenity also pointed out that manufacturers like Samsung and Micron are gradually exiting DDR2 and DDR3 production lines, and Nanya Technology has also stopped related production lines, while ESMT's revenue mainly comes from these two types of storage products. It believes that the market underestimates the price support brought by the contraction of traditional storage supply and ignores the situation where Micron, Samsung, SK Hynix, and SanDisk are locking in profitability through long-term supply agreements and price floors. Serenity criticized that the market is selling off AI and storage industry chain companies that actually generate substantial cash flow while shifting funds to companies like Walmart, which has a price-to-earnings ratio of about 47 times, and CrowdStrike, which has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of about 180 times. The current focus is not on the actual free cash flow generated by companies but rather on indiscriminate selling.

Aztec launched the Tierra V6 network upgrade, fixing security vulnerabilities and doubling the speed of privacy transaction proofs

According to The Block, the Aztec Foundation behind the Ethereum privacy Layer 2 network Aztec has launched the Tierra (Alpha V6) upgrade, which fixes security vulnerabilities from previous versions, including a critical vulnerability in V5, and introduces an AI-based security testing system.In terms of performance, the new version doubles the speed of generating privacy transaction proofs, taking only about 1 second on local devices; the time for Ethereum messages to reach Aztec has also been reduced from an average of about 2 minutes to as fast as 12 seconds, further enhancing cross-chain deposit and transaction efficiency. Aztec stated that due to the network's decentralized architecture, fixing critical vulnerabilities requires an upgrade of the entire network, and plans are currently underway to accelerate the deployment of future security updates.In terms of ecosystem, Aztec has recently relaunched the self-custody privacy wallet zk.money, and several applications are being launched or prepared for launch, including Galactica, which supports privacy AI inference, the privacy perpetual contract trading platform Nemi, the privacy browser wallet Nulo, and Xochi and Nyx, which support privacy payments and transactions. Meanwhile, Aztec has also released a new brand image and website, aiming to become the infrastructure platform for privacy applications.

The Information investigates the smuggling chain of high-end HBM in South Korea

The Information investigated the smuggling chain of high-end storage chips in South Korea and interviewed a dealer in Shenzhen in his 20s. He originally worked at a chip company and transitioned to the chip black market business by leveraging his network. Having been in the industry for only three years, he is now dressed in luxury brands and busy connecting buyers and sellers every day. The United States will begin to restrict exports of advanced high-bandwidth memory (HBM) to China starting at the end of 2024, but the rules have loopholes: HBM exports are restricted when sold separately, but if packaged together with processors, it may be judged based on the processing power of the processor to determine if it crosses the regulatory line.A smuggler in his 40s controls a chip design company that specializes in designing cheap and lower-performance server processors. These chips are rarely purchased but are used as a pretext for procuring high-end HBM from South Korea. Packaging factories place HBM from Samsung and SK Hynix on the same substrate as these processors and declare exports under the category of low-performance processors. After the goods enter mainland China via Hong Kong, workshops reheat and remove the HBM, while the cheap processors are discarded, and any mishandling during disassembly could damage the memory.A stack of HBM3E in the Chinese black market was priced at only a few hundred dollars a year ago, but it has now risen to about 4,000 dollars. An AI chip typically requires 6 to 8 stacks, costing between 24,000 to 32,000 dollars just for the memory. Some of the memory ultimately flows to Huawei customers. Huawei's next-generation Ascend 960DT is scheduled to launch in the first quarter of 2027, but there is a shortage of domestic HBM supply, and Huawei has asked some customers to procure memory on their own. With the increase in imitators, the aforementioned smuggler responsible for procuring chips from South Korea plans to sell his controlling stake in the company next year, fearing that the spread of the route will attract strict scrutiny from regulatory authorities in South Korea and the United States.
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