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Glassnode's latest report indicates that although buying interest remains strong, providing some buffer for prices, market sentiment is turning cautious. Data shows that the cumulative volume delta (CVD) has shifted from positive to negative, selling pressure is rising, and bearish sentiment is beginning to emerge.Meanwhile, centralized exchanges are active, and market participation remains high. In the futures market, the increase in open interest indicates a rise in risk appetite, but the funding rate for long positions has significantly decreased, and the CVD for perpetual contracts has sharply declined, suggesting that traders are more willing to pay a premium to short, while buyer initiative is weakening and bearish sentiment is intensifying.In the options market, the demand for downside protection has decreased, which may ease bearish sentiment, but the contraction in open interest could indicate profit-taking, affecting subsequent volatility. The narrowing of volatility spreads suggests that market sentiment is shifting from risk pricing to neutral.The ETF sector has become a highlight, with the MVRV ratio and net inflows of U.S. spot ETFs rising, profitability and investor interest strengthening, and trading activity significantly increasing, indicating a growing enthusiasm for participating in Bitcoin through regulated channels, with market sentiment being cautiously optimistic.In terms of liquidity, the share of hot money has decreased, and the negative change in realized market value has narrowed, indicating that old money is dominating and net outflows are easing. The supply ratio between short-term and long-term holders remains stable, and long-term holders' confidence is solid.

According to Lookonchain monitoring, a certain OTC whale (0xd45...FB20) that previously bought 163,000 ETH and 4,000 cbBTC withdrew 98,032 wstETH (worth $272 million) and 3,000 cbBTC (worth $221 million) from Aave.Due to the inability to withdraw ETH affected by the KelpDAO rsETH bridge vulnerability, the whale directly exchanged 7,438 aEthWETH (worth $16.83 million) for 1,930 stETH and 5,272 ETH, resulting in a loss of 237 ETH (worth $540,000). Currently, the address still has 10,000 ETH (worth $22.8 million) remaining in Aave.

The Financial Secretary of Hong Kong, Paul Chan, delivered the opening speech at the 2026 Hong Kong Web3 Carnival, stating, "The rise of AI agents this year is another noteworthy milestone. The intersection of AI and technologies like Web3 is changing the game. The combination of the two will elevate transaction efficiency to a new level and cover a broader range of business areas, from finance and trade to wealth management, supply chain operations, and logistics. This combination will create a multitude of new opportunities but will also pose a series of challenges, such as issues related to infrastructure payment and settlement systems and regulatory rules.Hong Kong's policy on Web3 and AI has always been clear, maintaining consistency under the principle of 'one country, two systems.' As an international financial center, Hong Kong embraces innovation, with stablecoins, tokenization, and AI becoming important components of the mainstream future. Hong Kong's regulators have a dual mission of prudent regulation and promoting market development, which requires us to encourage and support more innovative applications, improving our institutional framework based on continuous experience. I firmly believe that Hong Kong will undoubtedly become a key hub for the thriving development, widespread application, and responsible scaling of the new generation of technologies."

According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, after hackers borrowed a large amount of ETH by collateralizing illegally minted rsETH through Aave, several whale addresses sold AAVE on-chain, causing AAVE to drop by 15% on that day.Among them, the Polymarket user with the username "smaugvision" sold 20,015 AAVE at an average price of $102.9, worth about $2.06 million; address 0xFC5 sold 20,000 AAVE at an average price of $102.8, worth about $2.05 million; address 0xA2E sold 19,665 AAVE at an average price of $99.2, worth about $1.95 million.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, the wallet associated with Tim Draper deposited 150.84 BTC (worth $11.62 million) into a CEX (possibly Coinbase) after holding it for a year, incurring a loss of $2.57 million.Billionaire Tim Draper is a well-known venture capitalist who invested early in unicorn companies such as Tesla, Skype, Coinbase, Ledger, and Tezos.

According to Decrypt, SEC Chairman Paul Atkins launched the first episode of the official podcast "Material Matters," collaborating with commissioners Hester Peirce and Mark Uyeda to publicly express a pro-innovation regulatory stance.Atkins stated that the U.S. should become the global destination for innovation and characterized the current situation as "a significant turning point for the U.S. market." Uyeda criticized the Gensler era SEC for deviating from its core responsibilities, while Peirce emphasized that regulation should be open to innovators.

According to Hong Kong Radio, the Hong Kong government has decided to stop promoting basketball gambling projects. The Secretary for Home Affairs and Youth Affairs, Mak Mei-juan, stated in an interview with this station that the information collected by the authorities shows that the "prediction market" has developed rapidly in recent years, with monthly trading volume increasing from less than $100 million two years ago to over $13 billion last year, of which nearly 40% of the transactions are related to sports. The authorities are concerned that if new gambling projects are promoted at this time, it will lead to greater public concern and even participation in illegal gambling in the "prediction market." Therefore, it is believed that research should be conducted first before deciding on the next steps, and the promotion of new gambling projects should be halted for now.Mak Mei-juan stated that the existing regulated gambling projects have established a more mature monitoring and management system, which can help control risks. However, due to the uncertainty of the "prediction market," as a responsible government, there is a need to conduct research to understand the impact of the "prediction market" and its prevalence in Hong Kong. She also mentioned that the government has always maintained close contact with the Hong Kong Jockey Club, as the club has a rigorous monitoring system to oversee illegal gambling situations, and there are experts specifically targeting the fight against illegal gambling. The government will cooperate with the Jockey Club to obtain professional advice, allowing the authorities to implement measures specifically aimed at illegal gambling.Mak Mei-juan reiterated that the government's consistent policy is not to encourage gambling, and betting on sports projects in the "prediction market" is considered illegal gambling. The authorities will strengthen public education to help citizens understand the harms of gambling and refrain from participating in illegal gambling.

According to The Block, CryptoQuant's research director Julio Moreno stated on Wednesday that Bitcoin's recent rally is facing an increasing risk of profit-taking, with multiple on-chain indicators showing that selling pressure is strengthening. Currently, the price of Bitcoin has slightly retreated but is testing the on-chain "realized price" of $76,800 for traders. This level is seen as a significant bearish resistance, historically often limiting the rebound space, as holders close to breaking even are more inclined to sell for profit, thereby suppressing further increases.Moreno pointed out, "This price range precisely capped the price increase during the bear market rebound in January 2026 and reversed downward after reaching that level. If the current selling pressure continues to strengthen, a similar trend may occur again." He added that if the resistance level holds, approximately $67,600 below will become the main short-term support. The report also noted that the proportion of large trades has rapidly increased from less than 10% to over 40%, and historically, this level usually corresponds to strong short-term selling pressure. Profit-taking has not yet peaked. Currently, the daily realized profit is about $500 million, below the $1 billion threshold that historically marks significant sell-off peaks.Finally, Moreno stated that if Bitcoin remains above $76,000, or even approaches the realized price level of $76,800, the daily realized profit could accelerate to over $1 billion, thereby increasing selling pressure and raising the likelihood of a temporary top or correction in the market.

The crypto wallet Zerion disclosed that North Korean hackers are using AI for long-term social engineering attacks, stealing approximately $100,000 from the company's hot wallet.Zerion confirmed that user funds, applications, and infrastructure were not affected, and has proactively disabled the web application as a precaution. Zerion also stated that the attackers obtained some session and credential information from team members who were logged in, as well as the private keys of the company's hot wallet, and pointed out that AI is changing the way cyber threats operate.

According to Santiment monitoring, small retail traders are actively selling their holdings of Ethereum (ETH), with wallets holding 0.01 ETH or less having reduced their holdings by a total of 1,791 ETH (approximately 4.16 million USD) in the past two days. The market generally views the 17% increase since March 29 as a "Bull Trap," and this sentiment has actually strengthened the likelihood of a continued bullish momentum.

According to cryptocurrency analyst Yu Jin @EmberCN, a certain address has closed approximately 1,500 BTC and 95,000 ETH long positions since early this morning, with a total position value of about $339 million, realizing a profit of approximately $50.42 million. Currently, the address still holds about 25,000 ETH long positions, valued at approximately $57.98 million.

According to Jin Shi reports, U.S. Treasury Secretary Besant stated that Trump's tariff levels may return to the levels before the Supreme Court abolished multiple imposition orders by early July. Besant mentioned that, although it is difficult to predict when the consequences of the war in Iraq will affect the U.S. economy, the current economic situation remains strong, with an expected growth rate exceeding 3% or even 3.5% this year. He also pointed out that the continued decline in core inflation is a good sign and stated that the Federal Reserve has consistently misjudged the inflation issue.

According to monitoring by an on-chain analysis platform, trader 0x8844 sold 1,934 XAUT at a price of $5,037 each one month ago, making a profit of $1.74 million. About two hours ago, the trader again used $9.74 million to buy 4,093 ETH at a price of $2,380 each.

The IRS is intensifying its regulatory oversight of tax compliance for crypto assets as the April 15 filing deadline approaches, with related enforcement actions continuing to strengthen.Reports indicate that about 61% of U.S. crypto investors are still unaware of the new reporting rules for the 2025 tax year, and approximately 52% of investors are concerned about facing penalties due to reporting errors. The new rules require brokers to report digital asset trading income to the IRS for the first time using Form 1099-DA, but the cost basis still needs to be calculated by the investors themselves.Industry insiders state that the current regulatory environment has become stricter, and investors need to maintain complete records of transactions and wallet data, and report accurately to avoid potential legal risks.

According to DL News, several "revenge intermediary" organizations in South Korea that use cryptocurrency as a payment method have been active recently. These organizations take orders via Telegram, providing services such as intimidation, assaults, and even murders disguised as accidents, requiring clients to pay a 50% deposit in USDT, and promising to send action videos recorded by body cameras via Telegram.Although the main suspect was arrested on April 3, related online advertisements continued to be published on April 13. The South Korean police have launched investigations into over 50 related cases this year, arresting about 30 people, and determining that all cases involve cryptocurrency payments.

According to monitoring by Hyperinsight, in the past half hour, a whale starting with 0x004 opened a BTC short position with 33 times leverage, at an average price of $70,745, with a size of 200 BTC, amounting to approximately $14.15 million, and the unrealized loss has reached 10%. This address just closed its previous BTC short position at breakeven this morning and immediately re-entered the market to short again, marking its fifth short position opened this month.Address: 0x004edcd40360e293e4cf260d2ebdf8c7076c1bb8

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that the current Bitcoin market is entering an early stabilization phase, with long-term holding behavior gradually strengthening, indicating that the market structure may be undergoing a change.Data shows that since October, the number of BTC held for over one year has increased from about 12 million to approximately 12.4 million. Although the increase is still moderate, it reflects a shift in market behavior towards long-term holding. Since mid-December, the 30-day change has consistently remained positive, indicating that investors are more inclined to continue holding rather than distributing their assets. Darkfost pointed out that this change typically signifies a transition from a speculation-dominated phase to a stronger long-term conviction phase. Historically, the proportion of long-term holdings usually declines significantly at market peaks and gradually rises during bear markets, so the current trend can be seen as an early stabilization signal for the market. However, he also emphasized that this indicator belongs to a long-term dimension and typically requires a longer time to form a clear trend, and we are still in the early stages.