DRAG

Dragonfly Report: U.S. Crypto Users May Miss Out on Over $5 Billion in Airdrop Gains Due to Geographic Restrictions

According to ChainCatcher's message, the latest "2025 Airdrop Status Report" released by Dragonfly shows that U.S. users missed out on significant cryptocurrency airdrop gains due to regional restriction policies. The report analyzed data from 12 airdrop projects (11 with regional restrictions and 1 unrestricted control project) between 2019 and 2023, estimating that between 920,000 and 5.2 million active U.S. users (accounting for 5-10% of U.S. cryptocurrency holders) were affected by these regional restriction policies.The study found that in 2024, approximately 22-24% of active crypto addresses globally belong to U.S. residents. The 11 projects in the sample collectively generated about $7.16 billion in value, with around 1.86 million users participating in claims, and the average median claim amount per eligible address was approximately $4,800. The report estimates that U.S. users lost potential gains of $1.84 billion to $2.64 billion due to regional restrictions between 2020 and 2024.More broadly, based on an analysis of 21 regional restriction airdrop samples by CoinGecko, U.S. users may have lost between $3.49 billion and $5.02 billion. This resulted in an estimated federal tax loss of about $418 million to $1.1 billion, and a state tax loss of approximately $107 million to $284 million, totaling tax losses of $525 million to $1.38 billion. The report also noted that the relocation of crypto businesses overseas has significantly reduced U.S. tax revenues; for example, Tether reported a profit of $6.2 billion in 2024, which, if fully subject to U.S. taxes, could contribute about $1.3 billion in federal corporate tax and $316 million in state tax.

4E: Walmart's earnings warning drags down US stocks, while the crypto market rebounds

ChainCatcher news, Walmart's earnings guidance was below market expectations. As an important barometer of U.S. consumer spending, its slowing growth signals have raised investors' concerns about stagnation in consumer spending. According to 4E monitoring, the three major U.S. stock indices collectively fell on Thursday. Walmart's stock plummeted by 6.53%, dragging the Dow down by 1.01%, marking the largest single-day drop in nearly five weeks; the S&P 500 index fell by 0.43%, and the Nasdaq dropped by 0.47%, with large tech stocks generally under pressure.The cryptocurrency market has remained sluggish since February, with pessimistic sentiment once prevailing. However, after Bitcoin fell to a previous low of $93,000 on Tuesday, the price has continued to rebound as the market seems to gradually digest the impact of Trump's tariff policies and optimistic expectations for a resolution to the Russia-Ukraine conflict. As of now, Bitcoin is priced at $98,146, up 1.2% in the last 24 hours. The altcoin market has also shown signs of recovery, especially with newly launched coins experiencing significant increases, leading to a notable improvement in market sentiment.In the forex commodities sector, influenced by both the tariff plan and economic data, the U.S. dollar index fell by 0.7%; a decline in U.S. fuel inventories and a weaker dollar provided support for oil prices, which have risen for three consecutive days; safe-haven demand pushed spot gold to touch a historic high of $2,954, before the increase narrowed to 0.22%.U.S. stocks retreated on Thursday from record highs after several days of gains, with weak retail earnings reports coupled with U.S. unemployment claims data intensifying concerns about declining consumer confidence and the economic impact of tariff policies, leading traders to generally maintain a cautious stance.
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