According to ChainCatcher news, as of November 5 at 22:00, Trump holds an advantage of over 10% in the majority of market predictions for the 2024 U.S. presidential election, according to data from Galaxy Digital. The highest probability is 62% (Polymarket and Betfair), while the lowest probability is 43% (Economist/YouGov poll). Compared to the 12:00 data, Trump's election probability has increased by 1% to 5% in most markets.