ChainCatcher news reports that, according to 4E monitoring, the three major U.S. stock indices ended a two-day rally on Tuesday, with the Nasdaq down 1.71%, the S&P 500 down 1.06%, and the Dow down 0.62%. Tech stocks led the decline, with Tesla plunging 5.34% due to increased competition, and Nvidia's stock dropping 3.35% as new products from the GTC conference failed to boost its price.The cryptocurrency market experienced a downward trend, dragged down by the weak opening of U.S. stocks. Bitcoin quickly fell to around $81,000 last night, rebounding only after the U.S. stock market closed, and was reported at $82,571 at the time of writing, down nearly 1% in 24 hours. Ethereum rose against the trend by 1.3% to $1,940, possibly boosted by news of the Pectra upgrade. Other major tokens mostly showed slight declines.In the forex market, the U.S. dollar index continued to weaken, down 0.13%; Russia and Ukraine may reach a temporary ceasefire on energy facilities, causing oil prices to drop nearly 1.00%. Concerns over a U.S. recession, combined with instability in the Middle East, pushed spot gold up over 1.1%, approaching $3,040 and setting a new historical high.The market is focused on tonight's Federal Reserve monetary policy decision. Although it is widely expected that interest rates will remain unchanged, investors are still looking for insights into policymakers' assessments of the potential impact of the tariff war through the "dot plot" and Powell's remarks at the press conference, as well as clues about when the Fed might cut rates again.

ChainCatcher news, according to market information, the S&P 500 index fell 0.29% in pre-market trading, and the Nasdaq fell 0.36%. Cryptocurrency stocks generally declined, including:Coinbase (COIN) down 1.23%;Tesla (TSLA) down 1.72%;MicroStrategy (MSTR) down 1.62%;MARA Holdings (MARA) down 1.39%;Riot Platforms (RIOT) down 1.16%.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, Macquarie Bank has warned in its latest client report that Trump's economic policies could trigger a stock market crash. Unless Trump withdraws from the trade war and cuts spending (which currently seems unlikely), actual consumer spending in the U.S. could slow significantly. As this is the most consistent signal of a bear market, we believe the risk of U.S. stocks dropping 20% from the Valentine's Day peak is increasing. The U.S. benchmark stock index, the S&P 500, has already fallen nearly 8% from last month's high, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq index has dropped nearly 12% from its peak reached last December.

ChainCatcher news reports that according to 4E monitoring, U.S. stocks continued the rebound from last Friday on Monday, as investors sought to buy on dips after four consecutive weeks of market declines, pushing the indices higher. By the close, the Dow Jones rose 0.85%, the Nasdaq rose 0.31%, and the S&P 500 index rose 0.64%. Most large tech stocks fell, with Tesla leading the decline at 4.83%, down more than 40% this year.The cryptocurrency market fluctuated narrowly, showing overall lackluster performance, with Bitcoin hovering around $83,000, reported at $83,389 at press time, up 0.15% in 24 hours. Other major tokens mostly saw slight increases, with Ethereum striving to hold above $1,900, and BNB's meme market recovering strongly, rising nearly 18% in the past 7 days.In the forex commodities sector, the shadow of Trump's trade protectionism continues, with the dollar index falling 0.33% to a five-month low; influenced by geopolitical factors, oil prices rebounded over two days, with U.S. oil rising 0.59%; gold, driven by safe-haven sentiment, saw spot gold rise 0.57%, reaching a historical high for three consecutive days.Trump's tariff remarks have temporarily quieted, and the market is closely watching global central bank meetings. The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates on Wednesday, and Powell's comments after the meeting will be closely monitored, as he has previously stated he is "not in a hurry" to cut rates. Investors will look for any changes in his tone.

ChainCatcher news, according to an analysis by Shen Yu, co-founder and CEO of Cobo, Strategy (MSTR) cleverly amplifies Bitcoin's high volatility by 2.5 times to the U.S. stock market.Professional institutions utilize this high volatility for arbitrage, gaining short-term profits; MSTR raises cash through issuing convertible bonds and ATM share increases to accumulate a large amount of Bitcoin; common shareholders bear the severe stock price fluctuations and short-term decline risks, but passively receive the "Bitcoin yield" from the increased Bitcoin per share; Bitcoin holders benefit from the continuous influx of market funds and the rise in Bitcoin prices.

ChainCatcher news reports that, according to 4E monitoring, under the continuous impact of Trump's tariff policy, the three major U.S. stock indices experienced significant fluctuations last week and collectively closed lower. The Dow Jones fell about 3.1%, marking its worst weekly performance since March 2023. The S&P 500 dropped 2.27%, and the Nasdaq fell 2.43%, both marking the fourth consecutive week of decline. Large tech stocks, except for Nvidia which rebounded nearly 8%, all closed lower for the week.The cryptocurrency market was highly volatile, with Bitcoin rebounding after dipping to a recent low on Tuesday, oscillating around $83,000. U.S. stocks closed higher on Friday, driving Bitcoin above $85,000, but the upward momentum could not be sustained over the weekend due to a lack of liquidity, closing at $83,144, up nearly 1.5% over the past week. Other major tokens saw slight increases, with Ethereum striving to hold above $1,900, and BNB boosted by a $2 billion investment in Abu Dhabi and a revival in on-chain memes, rising nearly 10% over the past week.In the forex commodities sector, the U.S. dollar index fell about 0.1% last week; the oil market rebounded on Friday, reversing the downward trend for the week, with U.S. oil seeing its first weekly increase in nearly two months. The shadow of the trade war triggered a rush to safe-haven assets, with spot gold reaching a high of $3,004.94 on Friday, marking the first time it has surpassed the psychological threshold of $3,000, with a cumulative increase of 2.65% for the week.U.S. inflation data for February, both CPI and PPI, came in below expectations, easing concerns about economic stagflation. However, the latest University of Michigan consumer confidence index hit its lowest level in nearly three years, indicating extreme pessimism among consumers regarding the economic outlook. This week marks the "Super Central Bank Week," with over 20 central banks set to announce their latest policy rates, with a focus on the Federal Reserve and Japan, where the market currently expects both the Fed and the Bank of Japan to maintain their interest rates.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, due to Trump's tariff policy potentially ending the "American exceptionalism," investor optimism towards U.S. Treasuries has reached its highest level in at least three years.A survey conducted this week among 504 market participants shows that the expected risk-adjusted returns on U.S. Treasuries next month will be higher than those of U.S. stocks. 77% of respondents support bonds, the highest level recorded in survey data since 2022. Only 9% of respondents believe that the global market capitalization of U.S. stocks will return to historical highs, while about 40% expect it to fall to a new low not seen in over a year.The vast majority of respondents believe that tariffs (rather than Federal Reserve policy) will become the most critical factor influencing stock valuations. Nearly half of the respondents expect to reduce their positions in the S&P 500 next month, with less than 20% planning to increase their holdings. The market also lacks confidence in the response to the continued decline of the stock market; earlier this year, there were views that a stock market crash would force Trump to adjust his policies, but now, less than half of the respondents believe Trump will intervene to stabilize the market.

ChainCatcher news, Trump threatens to impose a 200% tariff on EU alcoholic products and firmly states that he will not "compromise" on tariffs against Canada, insisting on implementing the tariff plan on April 2, causing market turbulence. According to 4E monitoring, U.S. stocks collectively plummeted on Thursday, with the S&P 500 index closing down 1.39%, the Dow Jones down 1.30% marking four consecutive declines, and tech giants dragging the Nasdaq down 1.96%.After a brief recovery, the cryptocurrency market fell again last night due to the drag from U.S. stocks, with Bitcoin briefly dipping below the $80,000 mark. It only rebounded after the U.S. stock market closed, reaching $81,571 at the time of writing, a 24-hour decline of 2.6%. Altcoins crashed, on-chain activity was bleak, and amid the ongoing sluggish market, interest in contract trading has risen.In the forex commodities sector, February PPI growth was below expectations, pushing the dollar index up 0.2%; Russia agreed to a 30-day ceasefire, and a U.S.-Russia agreement may revive Russian oil and gas supplies, with U.S. crude oil closing down nearly 1.7%; driven by Trump's tariff threats and market risk aversion, spot gold surged nearly 1.8% to refresh its historical high, approaching $3,000.Wednesday's CPI and Thursday's PPI together indicate that inflationary pressures in the U.S. are easing, but the market generally believes this is insufficient to trigger a significant rebound. Trump's trade policies remain a key factor suppressing investor sentiment, casting doubt on the future interest rate path of the Federal Reserve, with the market still maintaining expectations for three rate cuts this year.

ChainCatcher message, Goldman Sachs strategist Oppenheimer stated that European and other overseas stock markets may continue to outperform the U.S. stock market, and they reiterated their recommendation to diversify investments into assets outside the U.S. The average correlation between stock markets in different countries has fallen to its lowest level since the 1990s. However, they noted that any further downward revision of U.S. economic growth expectations could also hurt overseas stock markets.If the main reason for a further pullback in U.S. stocks is concerns about economic growth, rather than the dominant tech stocks, then historical performance shows that other markets are likely to decline as well.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, JPMorgan strategists believe that the most severe phase of the U.S. stock market correction may have ended, and the credit market shows a lower risk of economic recession. Strategists Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou and Mika Inkinen pointed out in a report on Wednesday that compared to the stock and interest rate markets, the credit market, which has provided accurate signals multiple times over the past two years, is less worried about the risk of a U.S. economic recession.Analysis shows that smaller companies, which are more sensitive to economic growth, are better suited to measure the cyclical risks in the U.S. Currently, the small-cap stock market reflects about a 50% probability of recession, which is generally consistent with the expectations of the interest rate and commodity markets. However, the U.S. debt market suggests a recession probability of only 9% to 12%. The recent market adjustment has been more driven by quantitative funds adjusting their positions rather than fundamental investors or active management investors reassessing the risk of a U.S. economic recession.

ChainCatcher news, U.S. stocks closed on Wednesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average initially down 0.2%, the S&P 500 index up 0.49%, and the Nasdaq up 1.2%. Nvidia (NVDA.O) rose 6.4%, Tesla (TSLA.O) rose 7.5%, Walmart (WMT.N) fell 2.6%, and Apple (AAPL.O) fell 1.7%.Among blockchain concept stocks, Strategy (MSTR.O) rose 0.75%, and Coinbase (COIN.O) rose 0.02%.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the three major U.S. stock index futures have expanded their gains, with the S&P 500 index futures rising by 1.5%, the Nasdaq index futures rising by 1.8%, and the Dow Jones index futures rising by 1.2%.

ChainCatcher news, U.S. stock cryptocurrency concept stocks are rising before the market opens, among which:Strategy up 4.61%;Coinbase up 4.18%;Riot Platforms up 1.85%.