Analyst: Ethereum MVRV has shown a divergence since the end of 2022, with a key turning point being the transition to PoS
ChainCatcher message, on-chain data analyst Murphy released an analysis of ETH based on token flow and value ratio. The flow ratio of ETH on trading platforms has dropped below 35% since the end of December 2022, a figure that had exceeded 50% in September 2021. This indicates that ETH was once able to compete with BTC in terms of inflow/outflow ratios on trading platforms, but the significant decline now means that the attention of funds towards ETH is decreasing.Since December 2022, Bitcoin's MVRV "Market Value to Realized Value Ratio" (blue line) has shown a clear divergence from Ethereum's MVRV (yellow line). For the previous 7 years, this indicator had always alternated dominance, with ETH sometimes stronger and sometimes BTC stronger. Now, the blue line remains below the yellow line, indicating that since December 2022 until today, the unrealized profits of ETH holders have consistently been lower than those of BTC. Whether from trading platform data or on-chain data, the turning point for Ethereum's trend seems to have occurred in December 2022. Coincidentally, on September 15, 2022, the Ethereum mainnet merged with the Beacon Chain, completely ending PoW mining and transitioning to a PoS consensus mechanism, and everything changed right after that.As the trend of diminishing sentiment weakens, the capital inflow into these two major assets, BTC and ETH, has significantly decreased since last December. Nevertheless, BTC can still maintain a positive inflow of $5.4 billion over the past 30 days; whereas ETH has turned into a net capital outflow since February 15, with nearly $6.2 billion flowing out in the last 30 days as of yesterday. The attitude of funds is a crucial factor in determining price and trend, and ETH's revival in trend requires waiting for a renewed focus of capital.