IMF: The probability of the United States entering a recession in 2025 is 40%

2025-04-22 21:21:50

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ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) stated that the probability of the United States falling into recession in 2025 is 40%, up from the previous estimate of 27% in October last year.

The global inflation rate is expected to reach 4.3% in 2025 and 3.6% in 2026, with significant upward adjustments in inflation expectations for developed economies.

The overall inflation rate in the United States will "rise significantly" by 1 percentage point, which is not solely due to tariffs. The depreciation of the dollar is orderly and has not caused fragmentation or turmoil in the currency market. The Federal Reserve will have to be "very vigilant" about the impact of unanchored inflation expectations on wages.

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