Summary of Views: Latest Market Pricing by Central Banks Worldwide

2025-04-03 16:47:18
Collection

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the latest market pricing by central banks around the world is as follows:

  1. Federal Reserve: Traders are betting that the probability of the Federal Reserve making a fourth rate cut this year is close to 50%, whereas previous predictions indicated only three rate cuts.

  2. European Central Bank: Traders have increased their bets on rate cuts, with the possibility of a rate cut by the European Central Bank in April reaching as high as 90%, and a total cut of 68 basis points this year.

  3. Bank of England: Rate futures pricing indicates that the Bank of England will cut rates by about 60 basis points over the remaining time in 2025, compared to a previous expectation of 54.2 basis points.

  4. Reserve Bank of Australia: The bond market pricing has turned dovish, with an 85% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia in May, and cuts also expected in August and November.

  5. Bank of Japan: Bets on an early rate hike by the Bank of Japan have decreased, with swap rates showing that the probability of a 25 basis point hike in May has dropped to 9.5%.

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