The crypto imitation season has begun | Hotcoin Research Market Insights: December 2-6, 2024
Cryptocurrency Market Performance
Currently, the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies is $3.54 trillion, with BTC accounting for 54.2491%, which is $1.92 trillion. The market cap of stablecoins is $196.8 billion, with a 7-day increase of 4.3%, of which USDT accounts for 69.64%.
This week, BTC's price showed a fluctuating upward trend, with the current price at $100,266; ETH also showed a fluctuating upward trend, with the current price at $3,993.
Among the top 200 projects on CoinMarketCap, most have risen while a few have fallen, including: CVX with a 7-day increase of 141.33%, CRV with a 7-day increase of 132.92%, and HBAR with a 7-day increase of 105.01%.
This week, BTC broke through the $100,000 mark and stabilized, while its market share has seen a slight decline, and the leading projects in the Ethereum-dominated sector have also experienced some increases.
This week, the net inflow for Bitcoin spot ETFs in the U.S. was $2.775 billion; the net inflow for Ethereum spot ETFs in the U.S. was $803.4 million.
On December 7, the "Fear & Greed Index" was at 75 (lower than last week), with the sentiment being: 5 days of greed and 2 days of extreme greed.
Market Trend Prediction: BTC may show range-bound fluctuations, with a focus on profitable protocols or new public chain projects.
Understanding the Present
Weekly Major Events Review
On December 2, South Korea will delay the imposition of a 20% cryptocurrency tax for the third time;
Sonic Labs: Completed wallet snapshots for holders of six different Sonic Shards;
Coinbase integrates Apple Pay into its deposit services;
10x Research: Retail trading volume in the South Korean crypto market has surged, with altcoins becoming the market focus;
Sonic Labs has generated the first block on its mainnet, and the token airdrop snapshot has been completed;
Nike's crypto fashion brand RTFKT announced it will gradually cease operations;
Analysis: The U.S. government transferring Bitcoin to Coinbase may be considered custodial behavior;
The Trump administration may open the IPO market to cryptocurrency companies;
The Chief of Staff and Chief Secretary of the South Korean President's Office collectively resigned;
On December 4, the South Korean Martial Law Command issued the first martial law order;
On December 5, Trump confirmed Paul Atkins was selected as the SEC Chairman;
Meteora launched the M3M3 model, encouraging users to stake meme coins for fee rewards;
OpenAI: Will hold 12 product launch events in 12 days;
On December 5, Magic Eden's airdrop eligibility and distribution query tool has been launched;
Trump appointed David Sacks as the head of the crypto sector;
Pudgy Penguins launched its native token PENGU, based on the Solana network;
Molecule led the establishment of the DeSci ecosystem fund and has repurchased RIF and URO to support Pump.science.
Macroeconomics
On December 2, according to market news, global ETF provider WisdomTree submitted an S-1 registration file for an XRP ETF to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC);
On December 6, according to FOX Business reporter Eleanor Terrett, the SEC has notified at least two of the five potential issuers that it will reject their 19b4 applications for SOL spot ETFs. The current situation is that under the current administration, the SEC will not accept any new crypto ETFs;
On December 6, according to CME's "FedWatch," before the non-farm payroll data release, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in December is 72.1%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 27.9%;
On December 6, Citizens' Managing Director and Co-Head of Global Markets Eric Morley stated that the November non-farm payroll report showed the expected rebound in hiring, with no major surprises. The slight increase in the unemployment rate and the decrease in participation rate should persuade the Fed to continue its gradual easing path in the December meeting.
ETF
According to statistics, from December 2 to December 6, the net inflow of Bitcoin spot ETFs in the U.S. was $2.775 billion; as of December 6, GBTC (Grayscale) had a total outflow of $20.778 billion, currently holding $21.619 billion, and IBIT (BlackRock) currently holds $52.173 billion. The total market value of Bitcoin spot ETFs in the U.S. is $114.346 billion.
The net inflow of Ethereum spot ETFs in the U.S. was $803.4 million.
Envisioning the Future
Upcoming Events
The Bitcoin MENA Summit will be held from December 9 to 10 in Abu Dhabi, with Trump's son attending the Bitcoin MENA Summit in December;
Bitcoin MENA 2024 will take place from December 9 to 10 at the Abu Dhabi National Exhibition Centre;
Blockchain Season Finale 2024 will be held from December 12 to 13 in Dubai;
Taipei Blockchain Week will be held from December 12 to 14, 2024.
Project Progress
The Magic Eden Foundation announced that the ME token will undergo TGE on December 10;
The Bitcoin re-staking protocol Babylon will open Cap-3 staking on December 10, 2024, at 19:00, lasting for 1000 blocks, with a minimum staking amount of 0.005 BTC and a maximum staking amount increased to 5,000 BTC;
The Sui ecosystem lending protocol Suilend will launch its token SEND on December 12.
Important Events
- Brazilian digital bank NuBank has suspended trading of its native token Nucoin, offering customers the option to convert it to Bitcoin or stablecoin USDC before December 9.
Token Unlocking
Bitget Token (BGB) will unlock 5.38 million tokens on December 10, valued at approximately $8.6 million, accounting for 0.38% of the circulating supply;
Cheelee (CHEEL) will unlock 11.66 million tokens on December 10, valued at approximately $11.4 million, accounting for 1.17% of the circulating supply;
Aptos (APT) will unlock 11.31 million tokens on December 12, valued at approximately $16.9 million, accounting for 1% of the circulating supply.
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