QCP: The U.S. election week is approaching, and the short-term implied volatility of BTC and ETH remains high

2024-11-02 17:32:54
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ChainCatcher news, QCP Capital released a weekend summary report, which pointed out that Thursday's core PCE data was slightly higher than expected, while Friday's non-farm payroll data unexpectedly declined, leading to a rebound in the dollar index, recovering to the 104 level. This week, the net inflow of BTC exceeded $2.1 billion. BlackRock's IBIT saw a single-day net inflow of $872 million, the largest single-day net inflow since its launch in January.

Although Bitcoin fell below $69,000 on Friday, market interest remains strong, with total open interest in BTC futures and BTC options maintaining high levels of $40.65 billion and $25.3 billion, respectively. While Trump is favored to become the next U.S. president, the betting rate on Trump has significantly dropped from a high of 66% on Polymarket to 57% and 43%. In the upcoming election week, the short-term implied volatility of BTC and ETH remains high (above 72 volatility units), as traders increase their efforts for downside protection, causing the skew of put options to rise continuously.

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