Analysis: Pennsylvania may become the decisive state for the final outcome of the U.S. election

According to ChainCatcher news, as reported by Cryptoslate, Harris has a higher chance of winning in Michigan and Wisconsin than Trump on the prediction market Polymarket. If Harris wins these two swing states, Pennsylvania will become the key factor in determining who can win the U.S. presidential election.

On October 31, a poll conducted by SRSS and released on CNN showed that neither candidate had a clear advantage. Subsequently, in two of the six "battleground states," the odds sharply shifted in favor of Harris. As a result, Harris's chances of winning Wisconsin and Michigan increased by 5% and 6%, respectively.

Additionally, her overall chances of winning the election rose from 2.3% to 39.6%, but still remain far below Trump's 60.3%. Trump's overall winning rate is 22.2% higher than Harris's. Trump also leads Harris by 14% in Pennsylvania and has a significant lead in the other three swing states: Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada.