QCP Capital: The Chinese stock market has retreated, and cryptocurrencies may become a new destination for funds

ChainCatcher news, QCP Capital's latest analysis points out that the Chinese stock market has shown weak rebound after the long holiday, and the government report failed to introduce new economic stimulus measures. The MSCI Asia-Pacific stock index recorded its largest decline in a month. The US stock market also fell overnight, mainly affected by large tech stocks and geopolitical tensions, with the VIX index rising to 22 points.

The cryptocurrency market's volatility remains stable, with recent implied volatility at 43%, which is 3 percentage points lower than the 7-day historical actual volatility. Previously, Bloomberg reported that since the end of September, Chinese investors may have sold USDT to fund stock purchases, while Bitcoin prices remained stable. As the rebound in the Chinese stock market weakens, it is expected that funds may be reallocated to the cryptocurrency market, reflecting the increasing maturity of the crypto industry as another risk asset.

QCP believes that due to the upcoming earnings season and CPI data release, the stock market may face downward risks in the short term, which could challenge its high valuation. Geopolitical tensions further increase market uncertainty. QCP remains mid-term optimistic, expecting election-related news to continue to drive the cryptocurrency market.