Arthur Hayes: The prediction results for the market in the past year were 2 correct and 6 incorrect

ChainCatcher news, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes published an article today reviewing his 8 market predictions made since November 2023 in conjunction with the macro market, with the final result being "2 correct" and "6 incorrect."

Arthur added that although his accuracy rate is only 25%, he is still making money. Arthur stated that writing these macro analysis articles is an attempt to predict how the government will respond to market conditions with policy actions—once the bulls agree that the situation is quite bad, they will press the "print money" button. As long as his portfolio can rise due to the continuous issuance of fiat currency, it doesn't matter if he predicts every event incorrectly, because the government will ultimately make the expected policy response.