Trump's assassination attempt ignites Polymarket

Last weekend, the news of Trump's assassination attempt swept across global media.

That news, along with several thrilling photos, once again drew global attention to the U.S. elections and reignited people's high interest in this election.

There are many speculations online about the motives behind this incident. I still believe that such events are not conspiracy theories, and I also believe that a person's subconscious actions are difficult to fake; they reveal a person's true nature.

The biggest impact of this incident on the American people may be to awaken a group of indifferent voters who are generally not enthusiastic about politics and hardly participate in voting.

The few snapshots of Trump during this incident reminded me of 9/11.

At that time, after the event occurred, George W. Bush hurried to the scene, unpretentiously and instinctively putting his arm around a firefighter to deliver a speech. That scene caused many centrist voters, even some Democrats who did not like Bush, to make a 180-degree turn in their perception of his attitude.

Such incidents allow people to see the true nature and character they present in the face of sudden events and disasters. As long as this true nature and character align with the people's expectations, it can even make political differences seem less important.

I believe that the impact of 9/11 on Bush's popularity will also happen to Trump today.

Interestingly, many overseas media outlets included a prediction market graphic when reprinting this news. This graphic showed that the predicted price for Trump's election on a certain prediction market had risen to 70 cents.

More notably, many domestic Chinese media also referenced this graphic when reprinting the news.

This graphic comes from the prediction platform in the crypto world, polymarket.com.

I introduced this platform during a recent online discussion.

This is a prediction platform based on the Polygon Mainnet. It emerged during the last bull market, and I only came across it at the end of 2020.

At that time, the platform was just starting out, so there were very few events available for prediction. After years of development, this platform not only survived the tough bear market but also further expanded its prediction scope to many areas, such as sports, politics, crypto, science, and pop culture.

Users can log into this website using both crypto wallets and traditional email, making it accessible to a wide range of users.

Once users enter the site, they can click into various categories to see predictions about future events in those fields.

To participate in these event predictions, users need to top up their accounts with USDC, after which they can engage in various event predictions.

The entire operation process is not complicated.

Of course, the rewards for each event prediction on this platform are not substantial, so don't expect to achieve "overnight wealth" here; it's better to treat it as a small entertainment in a dull market.

In my early years of browsing this platform, I found it not very engaging and stopped paying attention for a while. I later revisited it mainly because I suddenly discovered last year that there were many more predictable events, such as the Taiwan election, the U.S. election, Sam's verdict, Bitcoin hitting new highs, Ethereum ETFs, etc. Many of these events are of interest to me. Therefore, I not only began to participate in predictions for these familiar events but also started to pay attention to the platform's development again.

This incident served as a free marketing opportunity for this platform.

I am always pleased to see every event that brings crypto applications to more users and makes them more familiar. I hope that more and more crypto applications can reach ordinary people in the future, allowing them to experience the charm and excitement of the crypto world.